Responsible Use

How these findings should — and should not — be used.

Who could benefit

Educators, school leaders, and policymakers can use this project to see that recovery has been uneven — that reading needs sustained attention even as math recovers — and to direct tutoring, reading support, and funding where it is most needed.

Who could be harmed if it is misused

  • Students and schools labeled "at risk" could be stigmatized or face lowered expectations — a label can become a self-fulfilling prophecy.
  • States or districts ranked by a single number could face blame or funding consequences that ignore the demographic context discussed in the comparison.
  • Groups that historically score lower could be treated as the problem rather than as the students who need the most support.

What to avoid overclaiming

  • Do not claim this project proves COVID caused the decline — it shows change over time, not cause.
  • Do not read a state or group average as describing any individual student or school — averages hide wide variation within groups.
  • Do not treat a "still declining" state as destined to keep declining — a trend is not destiny.

What human judgment and local context are still needed

These are aggregate, national-level signals. Deciding what to do about them requires knowing the local context — why a given school or district's scores moved, what interventions are already in place, and what the students actually need. Data can flag a problem; people have to understand it.

Privacy and equity

NAEP reports no individual or school-level scores, so there are no individual-privacy risks in this analysis. The equity concern is subtler: any interpretation that treats demographic composition as "the reason" for a gap, rather than as context for understanding it, risks reinforcing the very inequities the data reveal. Gaps that widen across race and poverty lines are a call to invest in the students who fell furthest — not to lower expectations for them.